Track record

What we said, and what the market did.

Every session bias and every daily index reading is stored the moment it is issued and scored against the COMEX close. Nothing is edited after the fact. The figures below update nightly.

Gold

Updated

SAMPLE DATA. These are illustrative values, not real readings. They stand in until the app publishes its live track record, and this notice disappears with them.

30-day agreement 58% of scored days, the day's bias moved with price. 24 scored days in the last 30 trading days.
90-day agreement 56% of scored days, the day's bias moved with price. 63 scored days in the last 90 trading days.

Index and price, last 90 trading days

Left axis: Momentum Index, 0 to 100 (dashed lines at 30 and 70). Right axis: COMEX gold, $/oz.

Momentum Index (0 to 100) and Gold close in dollars per ounce over 90 trading days, from Mon 8 Jun to Fri 9 Oct. Gold went from $3,919.20 to $3,902.62. 0 30 50 70 100 $3,700 $3,800 $3,900 $4,000 $4,100 Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct

Momentum IndexCOMEX gold close

The last 30 trading days

DateIndexAsiaLondonNY morningNY afternoonGold close ($/oz)DayOutcome
Fri 9 Oct 44 Down Down Neutral Down $3,902.62 -0.94% With
Thu 8 Oct 35 Down Down Down Down $3,939.69 -0.13% Not scored
Wed 7 Oct 35 Down Down Down Down $3,944.75 -1.01% With
Tue 6 Oct 29 Down Down Down Down $3,985.02 +0.88% Against
Mon 5 Oct 32 Down Down Down Down $3,950.23 -0.66% With
Fri 2 Oct 23 Down Down Down Down $3,976.62 -1.04% With
Thu 1 Oct 28 Down Down Down Down $4,018.58 +0.66% Against
Wed 30 Sep 32 Down Down Down Down $3,992.21 -1.37% With
Tue 29 Sep 38 Down Down Neutral Down $4,047.80 -1.21% With
Mon 28 Sep 34 Down Down Down Down $4,097.22 -0.62% With
Fri 25 Sep 37 Down Neutral Down Down $4,122.75 +0.64% Against
Thu 24 Sep 35 Down Down Neutral Down $4,096.64 +1.33% Against
Wed 23 Sep 55 Up Down Up Neutral $4,043.04 +1.77% With
Tue 22 Sep 69 Up Up Up Up $3,972.67 +0.88% With
Mon 21 Sep 61 Up Up Up Neutral $3,937.82 +0.67% With
Fri 18 Sep 60 Up Neutral Neutral Up $3,911.45 -0.87% Against
Thu 17 Sep 60 Up Neutral Up Up $3,945.74 +0.08% Not scored
Wed 16 Sep 48 Up Neutral Neutral Neutral $3,942.52 +1.26% With
Tue 15 Sep 40 Down Down Down Up $3,893.46 -0.33% With
Mon 14 Sep 50 Neutral Down Down Down $3,906.35 +1.75% Against
Fri 11 Sep 58 Up Up Neutral Up $3,838.99 -0.08% Not scored
Thu 10 Sep 46 Neutral Neutral Neutral Neutral $3,842.03 +0.71% Not scored
Wed 9 Sep 29 Down Down Down Down $3,815.06 -0.18% Not scored
Tue 8 Sep 27 Down Down Down Down $3,822.03 +0.19% Not scored
Mon 7 Sep 35 Down Down Down Down $3,814.75 -2.26% With
Fri 4 Sep 31 Down Down Down Down $3,903.04 +1.03% Against
Thu 3 Sep 29 Down Down Down Down $3,863.06 -0.37% With
Wed 2 Sep 62 Up Up Neutral Up $3,877.27 -0.94% Against
Tue 1 Sep 39 Down Down Down Down $3,914.05 +1.78% Against
Mon 31 Aug 55 Up Up Up Neutral $3,845.41 -0.49% Against

How a day is scored. A day is not scored if the expected move was under 0.1 of that day's volatility (no call) or the actual move was under 0.25 of it (noise); otherwise it is "With" when the day's bias and the COMEX close moved the same way and "Against" when they did not. The percentages above are With divided by With plus Against, so unscored days are listed here but never counted.

Silver

Updated

SAMPLE DATA. These are illustrative values, not real readings. They stand in until the app publishes its live track record, and this notice disappears with them.

30-day agreement 64% of scored days, the day's bias moved with price. 22 scored days in the last 30 trading days.
90-day agreement 58% of scored days, the day's bias moved with price. 64 scored days in the last 90 trading days.

Index and price, last 90 trading days

Left axis: Momentum Index, 0 to 100 (dashed lines at 30 and 70). Right axis: COMEX silver, $/oz.

Momentum Index (0 to 100) and Silver close in dollars per ounce over 90 trading days, from Mon 8 Jun to Fri 9 Oct. Silver went from $47.40 to $60.78. 0 30 50 70 100 $45 $50 $55 $60 Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct

Momentum IndexCOMEX silver close

The last 30 trading days

DateIndexAsiaLondonNY morningNY afternoonSilver close ($/oz)DayOutcome
Fri 9 Oct 63 Up Up Neutral Up $60.78 -1.22% Against
Thu 8 Oct 65 Up Up Neutral Neutral $61.53 +0.33% Not scored
Wed 7 Oct 61 Up Up Up Up $61.33 -1.46% Against
Tue 6 Oct 54 Up Up Up Neutral $62.24 -0.24% Not scored
Mon 5 Oct 51 Neutral Neutral Neutral Neutral $62.39 +1.36% Not scored
Fri 2 Oct 62 Up Up Neutral Neutral $61.55 +0.74% With
Thu 1 Oct 64 Up Up Up Neutral $61.10 +0.64% With
Wed 30 Sep 69 Up Up Up Up $60.71 +0.88% With
Tue 29 Sep 71 Up Up Up Up $60.18 -0.43% Against
Mon 28 Sep 68 Up Up Up Up $60.43 +0.47% With
Fri 25 Sep 69 Up Up Up Up $60.15 -1.04% Against
Thu 24 Sep 72 Up Up Up Neutral $60.79 +2.98% With
Wed 23 Sep 71 Up Up Up Up $59.02 +2.42% With
Tue 22 Sep 66 Up Up Up Up $57.63 -0.30% Not scored
Mon 21 Sep 66 Up Neutral Up Up $57.80 +3.38% With
Fri 18 Sep 64 Up Up Up Neutral $55.91 +1.91% With
Thu 17 Sep 59 Up Up Neutral Neutral $54.86 +4.38% With
Wed 16 Sep 52 Neutral Up Neutral Neutral $52.56 -0.29% Not scored
Tue 15 Sep 42 Down Neutral Neutral Down $52.71 -2.22% With
Mon 14 Sep 66 Up Up Neutral Up $53.91 -0.36% Not scored
Fri 11 Sep 66 Up Up Neutral Up $54.10 +1.64% With
Thu 10 Sep 75 Up Neutral Up Up $53.23 -1.83% Against
Wed 9 Sep 60 Neutral Neutral Up Neutral $54.23 +1.38% With
Tue 8 Sep 63 Up Up Up Neutral $53.49 -0.45% Against
Mon 7 Sep 74 Up Up Up Up $53.73 +0.45% With
Fri 4 Sep 81 Up Up Up Up $53.49 -0.26% Not scored
Thu 3 Sep 85 Up Up Up Up $53.63 +0.61% With
Wed 2 Sep 71 Up Up Up Up $53.30 +0.20% Not scored
Tue 1 Sep 80 Up Up Up Up $53.19 -0.64% Against
Mon 31 Aug 92 Up Up Up Up $53.54 -2.82% Against

How a day is scored. A day is not scored if the expected move was under 0.1 of that day's volatility (no call) or the actual move was under 0.25 of it (noise); otherwise it is "With" when the day's bias and the COMEX close moved the same way and "Against" when they did not. The percentages above are With divided by With plus Against, so unscored days are listed here but never counted.

Educational research, not advice. Past agreement does not predict future results. Read how the index is built on the Methodology page, then see what members get.

See pricing